Semi-final feelings

It's hard to get excited about the matches this weekend, because really the teams are just playing off to see who will get beaten by Geelong and Hawthorn. The Saints matchup okay with Hawthorn and did beat them not that long ago, and the Pies can never really be counted out of any final, but it's too hard to see them beating the Hawks. On the other side of the draw the Bulldogs and Sydney have absolutely no chance of beating the Cats. It's virtually impossible.

Nevertheless the games will be played. I gotta say I like the Swans on Friday night. It's not so much liking the Swans though, as it is having zero faith in the Bulldogs. The Dogs looked atrocious against Hawthorn. Up against a quality composed side like the Hawks the Dogs looked second rate. The Swans aren't really a quality team but they are a composed one - they won't fear the Bulldogs. The Bulldogs are by far the better team, but this just feels like a game where the Swans get up early, the Bulldogs mount a desperate comeback late, but the composed Swans hold on. Sydney 89 Bulldogs 85

I'm getting a lot of bad vibes about the Collingwood match. Everyone seems to be tipping Collingwood which isn't a good thing. The Pies are 8-7 in the games where they were favourites. That's really not a good record, considering that they were/are 5-3 in games as the underdog. All signs are pointing to St. Kilda. Lenny Hayes got extremely lucky with the lack of footage relating to his report, Luke Ball regaining fitness, and the Robert Harvey factor. These players respect Harvey too much to not give it their all. Add to that the fact that Riewoldt is a virtual lock to rebound from last week. Again, I hope I'm wrong, but I'm finding it hard to see Collingwood winning. St. Kilda 104 Collingwood 82