Week 15 picks

From now on I'm gonna be giving four picks a week. And to change things up, the picks are all going to be against the spread. I'll give the picks for the Sunday and Monday night games (and Thursday night games if that's the case, as it is this week), and then two other games I think have the best chance of getting it done. Here we go (home team in caps)...

New Orleans over CHICAGO (+3)
I really don't think this Chicago team is all that good. Aside from maybe the win over the Colts in the first week they haven't really had a legitimately good win all year. They've lost twice this year at home, and only beat Detroit by 4 points at home as well. And then there's Drew Brees vs. Kyle Orton.

Green Bay over JACKSONVILLE (+1.5)
This Jags team has quit. This is now seven losses on the trot if you count Detroit as a bye. Green Bay has one their 5 games by a combined margin of 92 points. Even when you count the hammering at the hands of New Orleans that Monday night, their 8 losses have been by a margin of just 56. Blame it on the defense, blame it on Rodgers, whatever. Sometimes it's just bad luck. Expect Del Rio's boys to help them out though. Really love this line.

DALLAS over New York (-3)
The Cowboys loss in Pittsburgh might have been the most simultaneously incredibly impressive and incredibly unimpressive performance of the season by any team. The Boys defense was phenomenal, matched the Steelers bit for bit. But the choke-job ensured that until Tony Romo wins a big game he's just another quarterback. The Dallas secondary is all of a sudden a weapon and without Burress to be double teamed, the Cowboys I'm sure will jump head first into the strategy of simply loading the box and stopping the run. If Jacobs doesn't play I can't see the Giants winning or covering, and even if he does I don't like their chances.

Cleveland over PHILADELPHIA (+14)
Before getting blown out in Tennessee the Browns hadn't lost a game by more than 10 points since week three, so that's something to keep an eye on. After two emotion charged wins this sets up as a huge trap game for the Eagles. The Browns aren't going to win this game but they should cover the two touchdown spread.