Week 16 picks

Last week 1-2-1

JACKSONVILLE (+6.5) over Indianapolis
A bad matchup for Indy. The way to beat the Colts is too simply just pound them with the run, something they don't defend that well. MJD and Fred Jones have been disappointing this year, but they went off against the Colts last time and could definitely do so again. The Jags looked to get things back on track a little last week, and although they might not win, they should cover that huge spread at home.

DALLAS (-4.5) over Baltimore
I think Baltimore is done. The Ravens lose here and they could easily find themselves behind two of the Jets/Dolphins/Pats trio heading into the final week for the final wild card spot. Looking at their schedule Baltimore hasn't beaten one bona fide good team this year, and unfortunately for them you can make the argument that Dallas is the best team in football right now.

NEW YORK (-3) over Carolina
This is pretty much it for the Giants. Last week looked terrible for the G-Men but the one positive they can take out of it is how well they defended the run, which is what the Panthers thrive on. DeAngelo comes down to Earth and the Giants restore a little order.

Green Bay (+4.5) over Chicago
This Green Bay team keeps suckering me in. But still, I don't understand how a team can beat another by almost five touchdowns then be the underdog a little more than a month later.