Monday, January 12, 2009

NFL Conference Championship picks

Last week: 3-1 (Playoffs: 7-1/Overall: 13-6-1)

NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO! Well Eli Manning and Tom Coughlin cost me a chance at a perfect record against the spread. Funny thing is, that and the Arizona game (ha!) were the two I was most confident about. Oh well. 7-1 is nothing to complain about I guess. The aim now is to reach double digits, would I think would be quite an achievement. Obviously I have to run the table from here. So let's see how we go.

Philadelphia (-3) over ARIZONA
I just can't pick the Cards here. I think that the Atlanta win was due to the fact they were playing a rookie quarterback, with the benefit of that hostile home environment and a couple of amazing momentum changing plays. The Carolina win was just a case of everything going right. The Panthers really weren't all that good all season, overrated for sure. They fluked more plays than any other team in the regular season, and got hot at the end because of DeAngelo Williams' incredible run. Poor coaching and Jake Delhomme's genuinely phenomenally inept performance (by the end of it he really looked like he was expecting to throw picks) as well as Larry freakin Fitzgerald accounted for the win. This week, the Eagles are smart enough to double Fitzgerald and they should be able to control the clock much better than Carolina. Oh yeah and they beat Arizona by four touchdowns last time. Philadelphia 28 Arizona 17

PITTSBURGH (-5) over Baltimore
You can tell the Steelers mean business. They looked fantastic against the Chargers - they know they belong. Big Ben made plays all day, and they converted on all the big plays. Can't help but feel the Ravens are a little overrated. Tennessee murdered them in virtually every facet of the game, except luck and turnovers. Pittsburgh should be more careful with the ball, they won't give Baltimore the game ala Tennessee. Also when is the last time two teams played three painfully tight matches in the one season. No way Flacco leads the Ravens to a comfortable victory, so I'm liking the Steelers based on that law of averages. Liking them based on everything too. Pittsburgh 27 Baltimore 9

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